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CHAPTER 6
How Safe Are Nuclear Reactors?
Routine Operations
Discussion
of the safety of nuclear reactors has two
components: (1) The normal day-to-day operations in
which the reactors are permitted to release radioactivity
into the environment, and (2) the accident situation
wherein the reactor may release large quantities of
radioactivity into the environment.
In
normal day-to-day operations, nuclear power
plants are permitted by law to release radioactivity in
the form of radioactive atoms to the environment in
gaseous and liquid discharges. There are essentially two
regulations concerned with these releases. The regulation
which represents the primary standard is the
dosage that could be delivered to an individual or to the
population-at-large. We have discussed this primary
standard earlier in this
book and have indicated that the standard is much too
high. The maximum permissible concentrations of the
various radionuclides in air
(MPCa) and water
(MPCw) that are permitted to be
released outside of the restricted area of a nuclear
reactor are called secondary standards.
The
primary standard should be derivable from the
secondary standards. But, as
we indicated earlier, the secondary standards, the
maximum permissible concentrations
that are listed in Title 10 of the Code of
Federal Regulations, do not permit this. The MPCs
that are tabulated in Title 10 of the Code of Federal
Regulations apply only to the situation where individuals
are breathing the contaminated air or drinking
the contaminated water. They do not take into
account the fact that the contaminated air and the
contaminated water will result in the contamination of
the foods consumed by man. This is an extremely
important factor in terms of the dosage that would be
received by man from reactor releases.
The
proponents of the nuclear power industry state
that the exposure from the nuclear power plants would
be considerably lower than those of the guidelines.
They indicate that individuals in the near vicinity of
nuclear reactors would be exposed to no more than
5-10 mr/yr value and that as individuals lived further
and further away from the reactor, their exposure
would drop off very rapidly from this 5-10 mr/yr value.
Moreover, they indicate that the design objectives and
the operation of existing power plants are such that the
actual releases of radioactivity from the power plants
are no more than 1 percent of the releases allowed by
the AEC's MPC values.
The
State of Minnesota has proposed emission
standards that are 50 fold lower than those of the AEC.
At a symposium titled "Nuclear Power and the
Environment", held at the University of Minnesota in
October, 1969, members of the audience repeatedly
asked the question, "If reactors are only going to
release the small amount of radioactivity that you
indicate, then why are you so reluctant to make
guidelines more restrictive and adopt the Minnesota
regulations?" Congressman Craig Hosmer, a member of the
Joint Congressional Committee on Atomic Energy,
stated that if the standards were lowered, he doubted if
the reactors could operate safely. Commissioner Theos
Thompson made essentially the same statement in
testimony before the Joint Committee on Atomic Energy.
In
recent hearings before the JCAE, the following
exchange took place between AEC Commissioners
James Ramey and Thompson and Congressmen Chet
Holifield and Hosmer. We will reprint their exact
words, with only a bit of interpretation.
Chairman
HOLIFIELD . . . One other point I
wanted to bring out was that the newer plants and the
plants that are now being put on the line commercially
and which do not have experiments involved in their
continuous operation show consistently a concentration
limit of less than 1 percent.
Is
that not right, or am I wrong in reading the
chart?
(Holifield means that the radioactivity escaping from
the plant is less than 1 percent of official limits.)
Dr
THOMPSON. That is correct. You are
reading the chart correctly.
I
would like to make the statement, though, that
there may be times, when, even in spite of careful
inspection -- which is always done -- and the checkout to
assure that the surface of these fuel elements is free
from uranium, the effluent levels will rise above this
one percent but still be well within the current part
20 limits.
It
is therefore important that we have what I will
call an operating cushion.
You
talked with Dr. Totter the other morning and
you asked him whether there was a reasonable cushion
of safety between the effects of radiation and the
present standards which are set up.
What
I am talking about is another cushion
between the part 20 standards and the normal operating
level. That cushion is important for the reliability of
these plants as a part of an electrical utility system.
Assume a utility builds a nuclear reactor, and then,
say, they go up from one percent to three percent of
the part 20 limit. Then, if we have set a lower limit at
one percent, this reactor would have to be shut down.
But it would not really be shut down because of a
safety reason but simply because somebody had
arbitrarily established a very low limit.
(Dr. Thompson means that, if the limits of radiation
at the reactor were set at 1 percent of the part 20 limit,
but the operators found they could not keep the limits
this low, then the reactor would have to shut down.)
This
would materially reduce the reliability of this
plant as a power source.
I
think the AEC has an obligation, as a responsible
group, to be sure that the reliability of these plants is
not reduced by making these standards too low just
arbitrarily.
(By reliability he means here its ability to continue to
provide power. He is not talking about reliability in
terms of safety.)
Chairman
HOLIFIELD. Of course, if safety
standards are too restrictive, the various attempts to comply
with a too rigid standard would increase the
probability of trouble from a technological standpoint; is
that not true?
Dr.
THOMPSON. If the radioactive effluent
standards are too rigid, in my own mind at least, there are
some very grave worries that I have concerning
whether this may not reduce the ultimate safety of the
reactor plant itself. If one begins to push too hard on
holding down effluents, one may as a result affect
reactor safety adversely. For instance, say we hold up
all the tritium in the plant. This tritium makes very
high levels of tritium in the air inside the containment.
Then the tendency will be not to inspect the plant so
often.
Another
example. In the boiling water reactor,
there are those who would cut down the effluent that
is released through the stack too strenuously and too
early before technical feasibility for doing this has
been demonstrated. It may well be that, as one moves
to a very long holdup of gases in the boiling water
reactor effluent system -- and a lot of the gases which
come out from this plant are really hydrogen and
oxygen which are disassociated in the core of the
reactor -- there is a possibility that unless one is very
careful you will induce an explosive hazard where no
hazard was there before.
Therefore
there is a very close interaction between
effluent discharge levels and safety of the reactor.
I
am somewhat concerned that we will move from
a more safe reactor to a less safe reactor if we push
the effluents down more than we should on a
reasonable basis. I believe we are on a reasonable basis
right now.
(In other words, the more you restrict the levels of
radioactivity loosed on the world outside the plant, the
more you risk a possibly catastrophic explosion at the
nuclear reactor.)
Representative
HOSMER. You brought up this
matter of the cushion. You used as an example if you
go from one to three percent.
Dr.
THOMPSON. I picked the number one to
three.
Representative
HOSMER. Let us call that a size
three cushion. But you go to 100 percent under the
same limitations. Would you then be using a size 100
cushion?
Dr.
THOMPSON. That is right.
Representative
HOSMER. So, let us get into the
reasonableness of the size of the cushion. We know
that the limitations are established on the basis that
you can go up to 100 and still do no damage to
individuals and the public but some people seem to think
that there is not enough known so that that might not
be an absolute guarantee.
So,
why don't we think in terms of reducing the
legal size of the cushion to what would be reasonable?
If
you say you want to go up to three percent,
maybe size three cushion or maybe size 10 cushion,
to give you some extra latitude, some elasticity, you
know, to assure the public again and again and again
that their health and safety is being cared for?
(We think Rep. Hosmer's statement here indicates,
perhaps better than anything else could, the total confusion
that exists in regard to the possible hazards we
face. An important question is why do the Joint
Committee and the AEC assure us that we are in no danger,
even though they themselves confess to a great deal of
confusion and uncertainty?)
Mr.
RAMEY. Mr. Chairman, may I comment on
that?
Chairman
HOLIFIELD. Yes; proceed.
Mr.
RAMEY. I think we do have the standard
for guidance here and it is the standard that is under
the FRC of holding the levels as low as practicable.
We
have looked at this rather carefully. We are
still looking at it as Dr. Thompson has indicated, but
there are these factors that we have to take into
account in balancing this, these trade-offs between
reactor safety and the safety from the effluents. It
might be possible to give some guidance as to what is
practicable, how this could be handled. But it is not
likely to be something that sets some limit in terms of
radioactivity. It is more likely to be guidance in terms
of design and in terms of operating procedure on how
the utilities now are holding these levels down in these
ranges. Because every once in a while you may have
to go up above any particular limit and be near your
100 percent factor.
Representative
HOSMER. Mr. Ramey, with the
older reactors that Dr. Thompson has just discussed,
the Humboldt Bay reactor, for instance, the
technology has now proceeded to where the practical
limits observed in the normal course of operation are
by a factor of 100 below the legal limits prescribed
in the licensing process.
Since
the technology has developed and since the
practical limits are being observed, all I am trying to
seek is some accommodation between the present legal
limit and the practical limit at which the elasticity, the
cushion, would be adequate but at the same time the
legal limits reduced.
Mr.
RAMEY. As I say, Mr. Hosmer, I think if
we look on part 20, that number is initially set, as has
been brought out, as a very conservative number in
the first place with a great number of factors of
conservatism in it.
Representative
HOSMER. Part 20 has already
been described by Dr. Thompson as a "dynamic and
living thing."
Mr.
RAMEY. That is right. I think the way we
are looking at it is in terms of within it, and in
accordance with the FRC guidelines, of how one might
provide guidance on what is practicable below the part
20 numbers.
Now,
operating experience has shown that these
are at a fraction of the part 20 numbers on these
types of reactors.
There
are transient situations which may exceed
this experience. For example, in Minnesota, in this
Minnesota permit, what they have taken as an average
and made that the limit. Anybody knows when you
set a limit based on an average that sometimes you
are going to go over that average and at other times
you are going to go under it.
So,
if you set it at the average and as an absolute
limit, you are going to be violating it.
Representative
HOSMER. I am not talking about
an average. I am talking about an average plus a
reasonable cushion and asking if size 99 to 100 is a
reasonable cushion or wouldn't size 25, for example,
be a reasonable cushion.
Dr.
THOMPSON. Mr. Hosmer, we don't have at
the moment any way to set a reasonable cushion.
There is not that sort of experience. So we should not
move and make that cushion smaller until such
experience exists.[1]
Basically
what the AEC Commissioners are saying
is that they don't want to change the standards until
they know how much radioactivity will be released. If
the reactors are going to release only 1/100th of the
present allowable release rates, then why should the
AEC be so reluctant to lower the standards by at least
a factor of 10? The only conclusion that a reasonable
person can come to is that the AEC does not firmly
believe that the reactors will be able to operate at these
lower release rates.
This
1 percent release rate is a design objective.
Dr. Thompson recognized this in his testimony and
also recognizes that an operating plant may exceed
these objectives by a wide margin. A little later on in
his testimony, Dr. Thompson stated:
Frankly,
at this stage in the development of atomic
energy I think it would be premature to set this, say,
three percent cushion or 10 percent cushion, in an
arbitrary manner. I think we ought to take a look at
the large plants that are coming on line and see how
they are going to do. I think they will be at the same
levels as present plants but we also need a fair amount
of cushion . . . [2]
Mr.
Wilfrid Johnson, another AEC Commissioner,
supported Dr. Thompson's position a little later in the
testimony:
Mr.
JOHNSON. I wanted to add, with regard to
the same point that Dr. Thompson brought up that we
do need the flexibility in the levels, in part, because
they have to apply broadly over various kinds of
plants, such as chemical processing plants, as well
as reactors. They are also related to occupational
exposures.
There
is no way to completely divorce the matter
of effluents of a plant from the occupational exposure
that the employees get. They are related matters.
On
top of that, we must consider new plants that
come along. They will have different kinds of releases
and the limits have to apply to them, too.
If
we were too rigid, we would have nothing but
boiling water and pressurized water reactors from now
on. If we get to liquid metal cooled fast breeders, the
effluent problem will be different. Hopefully, they will
be better, but we know they will be different. We need
flexibility for these
reasons.[3]
(Here
Commissioner Johnson admits that nobody
knows what the effluent problem will be in the fast
breeder reactors which the AEC assures us are the only
final solution to our power problems. They have
announced plans for such a reactor at Meshoppen,
Pennsylvania. Presumably they must wait until this reactor
is in operation before they will know how much
radiation will be released in its operation! )
To
a considerable extent, the amount of radioactivity released
to the environment by an operating nuclear power reactor
depends upon the integrity of the fuel rods in the reactor.
The large reactors that are planned, and are being constructed,
in this country today have thousands of these fuel rods inserted
into the core of the reactor. These fuel rods can develop
small pin holes. The radioactivity generated within the fuel
rods then leaks through these pin holes and into the water
which is moderating the reactor. (See diagram of reactor core
in Chapter 1, page 38.)
In
a boiling water reactor the gaseous products will
be released through the stack. The reactor is not able,
completely, to contain this water which bathes and
moderates the fuel elements and collects the
radioactivity which leaks from the rods. Therefore,
radioactively-contaminated water accumulates within the
reactor housing. This radioactive waste water is then
released into the cooling water and returned to the
river or to the ocean.
Consequently,
the degree below the maximum
permissible concentrations that a given reactor will be
able to operate depends upon the integrity of its fuel
rods, as well as the integrity of all the valves, nozzles
and pipes in the plumbing and cycling system of the
reactor. The reactors presently under construction are
planned to operate for some 20 years. Plans are to
change the fuel rods only once every two or three years.
These reactors are considerably larger than the reactors
upon which we have any experience to date.
The
combination of these things indicates that we
do not really know how these reactors will operate as
they begin to age and as their fuel rods begin to age.
It may well be that the natural aging process of the
reactor, variations in quality control, and operator
errors will cause it to creep up to the maximum permissible
concentrations that are presently allowed by
the AEC. They might even exceed those levels!
Since
nuclear power reactors are being proposed at
a rate which indicates they will be supplying a very substantial
fraction of our future electrical power needs,
we will be presented with a fait accompli in the future.
Even if these reactors do not operate at their design
specifications, it will be difficult to shut them down
because we will need the power. If we shut them down,
sizeable sections of the country will experience periods
of brown-out. We might, therefore, be forced to live with
whatever radioactive emissions the reactors require.
Once we have made a very sizeable commitment to
nuclear-generated power, we must face the fact that we
will be stuck with the commitment.
The
discussion above indicates that the present
generation of reactors is no more than an experiment.
The public is told that the guidelines are safe. But they
are not safe! The public is told that the radioactive
emissions will be only 1 percent of the guidelines. This
is a design objective. An objective that the AEC
Commissioners are not in the least certain will be met. The
AEC is adhering to its guidelines in order not to inhibit
the development of the nuclear power industry by
engineering, operational, or quality control failures.
The public is simply required to take the risk inherent
in this "Cushion."
Accidents In Present-Day Reactors
In
addition to the uncertainties in the day-to-day
release, uncertainties exist about chances for a major
accident. Dr. Walter H. Jordan, Assistant Director of
the Oak Ridge National Laboratory and a member of
one of the AEC's reactor safety boards, stated in a
recent article in Physics Today:
The
important question still remains: Have we
succeeded in reducing the risk to a tolerable level,
that is, something less than one chance in 10,000,
that a reactor will have a serious accident in a year?
Have
we succeeded in reducing the hazard to such
a low level? There is no way to prove it. We have
accumulated so far some 100 reactor years of
accident-free operation of commercial nuclear electric
power stations in the U.S. This is a long way from
10,000 so it does not tell us much.
The
only way we will know what the odds really
are is by continuing to accumulate experience in
operating reactors. There is some risk but it is certainly
worth it.[4]
How
safe are nuclear reactors? Let us quote from
consulting engineer, Adolph Ackerman:
As
an independent consulting engineer I have
been active for many years in alerting the engineering
profession to its overriding responsibilities in design
and construction of safe atomic power plants. The
simple fact is that none of the atomic power plants
currently in operation or under construction have been
designed with the traditional concepts of engineering
responsibility and ethical commitment for maximum
public safety.[5]
Mr.
Ackerman spelled out his reasons for this
statement quite clearly in a recent article. Professor Robert
L. Whitelaw, of the Virginia Polytechnic Institute and
formerly Project Engineer for the design and
construction of the power plant for the nuclear ship, N. S.
Savannah, commented on this paper by Ackerman in
the IEEE Transactions on Aerospace and Electronic
Systems (vol. AES-5, no. 3, May 1969):
I
wish to endorse fully the principal argument
advanced by A. J. Ackerman in his paper and,
perhaps, strengthen the impact of his paper with this
brief discussion.
His
principal argument has been confirmed by my
own experience of the past fifteen years on nuclear
projects and problems of various kinds This
experience included preparing proposals and nuclear hazards
evaluations in a variety of nuclear power plants, both
commercial and military.
It
has been my observation that, despite the enormous
amount of meticulous detail which the ACRS
regularly requires on every projected power plant to
satisfy itself that there is no "credible accident" that
can threaten the public (or even the operators) -- and
despite the volumes of paper and hours of presentations
consumed on this topic, and no doubt well-intentioned --
there is still by common consent an unwritten agreement
to treat as "incredible" the most fearful of all nuclear
accidents that can occur in any plant with a highly
pressurized primary system Such
an accident is, of course, the explosive rupture of the
primary vessel itself, which is ruled out of the list of
credible accidents for the simple reason that there is
no adequate answer short of putting the plant underground
or inside a mountain, as Ackerman has
pointed out.
Dr.
Edward Teller, often called the father of the
hydrogen bomb and one of the most outstanding supporters
of the AEC, has stated:
A
single major mishap in a nuclear reactor could
cause extreme damage, not because of the explosive
force, but because of the radioactive contamination.
. . . So far, we have been extremely lucky . . . But
with the spread of industrialization, with the greater
number of simians monkeying around with things they
do not completely understand, sooner or later a fool
will prove greater than the proof even in a foolproof
system.[6]
On
September 10, 1970, in Livermore, California,
Dr. Teller told the Livermore Chapter of the Society of
Professional Engineers that reactors were safe, but they
should be put underground.
How
safe are nuclear reactors? Let us quote
from a letter of the AEC's Advisory Committee on
Reactor Safeguards concerning a reactor planned for
Midland, Michigan.
.
. . The number of permanent residents within
five miles of the plant site was estimated to be 41,000
in 1968, mainly in the city of Midland and its environs.
The
applicant has established criteria for, and has
begun the formulation of a comprehensive emergency
evacuation plan . . .
In
considering the safety of nuclear reactors, it is
important to recognize that each nuclear reactor in
this country is an experiment. Each reactor is different
from all other reactors and whether or not it will
operate and/or operate safely depends upon the outcome
of the experiment.
One
of the reasons for this is that the AEC has not
funded safety research at an appropriate level. This was
recently pointed out by Mr. Joseph M. Hendrie,
Chairman of the Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards,
in a letter to Dr. Glenn T. Seaborg, Chairman of the
Atomic Energy Commission, dated November
12, 1969:
DEAR
DR. SEABORG: The Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards
(ACRS) wishes to reemphasize some previous recommendations concerning
the need for safety research in several important areas
in which the effort has not been sufficient. The Committee
has been recently informed that overall reactor
safety funding for FY 1970 and 1971 will be considerably
below the AEC estimates of need for the water
reactor safety research program, as well as for safety
research on seismic effects, on sodium-cooled fast
reactors, on high-temperature graphite-moderated,
gas-cooled reactors, and on environmental effects. As
a consequence, many safety research activities have
not been initiated, have been slowed, or have been
terminated. The Committee reiterates its belief in the
urgent need for additional research and development
in these areas, and refers in the paragraph below to
earlier statements of the Committee on these subjects.
Water Reactors
In
its letter to Mr. Hollingsworth of March 20,
1969, the ACRS stated its belief that ". . . more effort
should be devoted to gaining an understanding of
modes and mechanisms of fuel failure, possible propagation
of fuel failure, and generation of locally high
pressures if hot fuel and coolant are mixed, and that
effort should commence on gaining an understanding
of the various mechanisms of potential importance in
describing the course of events following partial or
large scale core melting, either at power or in the unlikely
event of a loss-of-coolant accident." The Committee has
strongly recommended safety research of
this kind several times during the last three years; the
Regulatory Staff has also strongly supported such
work. However, only small or modest efforts have
been initiated thus far.
In
its comments of March 20, 1969, the Committee
also recommended that ". . . considerable attention be
given now to the potential safety questions
related to large water reactors likely to be proposed
for construction during the next decade. Large cores,
higher power densities, and new materials of fabrication
are some of the departures from present practice likely
to introduce new safety research needs or
major changes in emphasis in existing needs.
The
Committee further recommended that consideration
be given to ". . research aimed specifically
at improving the potential for siting of large water
reactors in more populated areas than currently being
utilized; for example, studies should be undertaken to
develop reactor design concepts providing additional
inherent safety or, possibly, new safety features to
deal with very low probability accidents involving
primary system rupture followed by a functional failure
of the emergency core cooling system."
It
appears that, because of funding limitations and
for other reasons, the recommendations of the ACRS
will not be implemented at this time.
Liquid-Metal-Cooled Fast Breeder Reactors (LMFBR)
The
ACRS, in its report on safety research of
November 19, 1963, stated that "Recent renewed
emphasis on the long range role of large fast breeder
reactors points up the need for a well developed, long
term, comprehensive research program on the safety
of such reactors. A strong research program started
now should develop information very useful to the
first generation of very large fast reactors." The Regulatory
Staff and the ACRS have recently undertaken
a preliminary review of a proposed site to be used for
construction of a 500 MWe LMFBR. Construction
permit reviews, of one or more LMFBRs, are anticipated
in the next few years
While
an extensive LMFBR safety program plan
has been formulated, and a growing program in
LMFBR safety has been started, many safety-related
design decisions will have to be made by applicants
and the regulatory groups without the benefit of needed
safety research, in part, because of a lag in the
implementation of studies of high priority matters.
.
. . In summary, the Committee again emphasizes
the importance of safety research to the protection of
the health and safety of the public and urges that
adequate funding be provided to permit timely pursuit
of work in all high priority
areas.[7]
In
a letter of November 12, 1969, to Mr. Robert
E. Hollingsworth, General Manager of the U. S.
Atomic Energy Commission, Mr. Hendrie stated:
.
. . The water-cooled reactor safety research program
in PBF (power burst facility) should concurrently investigate,
with high priority, the mechanisms
and phenomena associated with the initiation, growth,
and propagation of fuel pin failure, including the circumstances
under which melting of fuel could progress
beyond one fuel element. Such a situation could
develop in a large power reactor because of a local
reduction in heat removal rate (as by-flow blockage),
a locally abnormal power density (as by incorrect
enrichment of fuel), or a more widespread perturbation
in power or flow. These experiments are required
in order to ascertain the probability of a local incident
progressing into a serious accident and, if possible,
the course and consequence of such a sequence of
events.[8]
These complaints, by the AEC's Advisory Committee
on Reactor Safeguards, suggest that the present reactors
and those under construction are far more
experimental than we might have imagined.
It
is significant to note, particularly in relationship
to the ACRS concern over loss of coolant, which it considers
as an unlikely event, and Dr. Teller's statement
about "simians monkeying around," that Mr. E. P.
Epler discusses an emergency cooling system failure
in the Oak Ridge Research Reactor in the July-August,
1970, issue of Nuclear Safety. In this case three human
errors and four design errors contributed to the
incident. In his conclusions, Mr. Epler states:
The
errors and failures cited are not individually
unusual, although it would ordinarily be expected that
they would be corrected during early operation and
system shakedown Engineered protection systems are
not operated routinely and, as a consequence, error
and failure modes can lie dormant and unsuspected,
only to appear when emergency operation is required
The incident was not the result of a single failure
but resulted, amazingly, from seven failures or errors
in each of three identical channels, a total of 21 failures
If any one of these had not occurred, the reactor
would not have been operated without emergency
cooling. It is also noteworthy that this incident happened
in a plant with an outstanding safety and
availability record . . .
[9]
Aside
from the chance of a serious accident, these
delays in safety research or its counterpart, proceeding
too rapidly with the development of the nuclear energy
program, may have forced us into the position where
we shall have to accept far more risk for our electrical
power than was necessary. Moreover, we may end up
with a less reliable source of power. The reactors may
have to be shut down frequently because of unforeseen
engineering problems.
For
example, in the May 14, 1970, issue of Nucleonics
Week there is a fairly long discussion on the
problems that developed with furnace-sensitized stainless
steel in critical areas of the reactors. This article
indicates that trouble was encountered at the reactors
at Oyster Creek, Tarapur, Nine-Mile Point, and
LaCrosse. These problems developed in furnace-sensitized
stainless steel safe ends and other miscellaneous
supports in the reactors.
A
somewhat similar problem developed in the
Indian Point reactor (May 20, 1970) where small
pieces of material were found circulating in the cooling
water. Since these reactors were constructed to meet
critical power needs, it appears quite possible that
brown-outs will occur when nuclear reactors fail. The
possibility looms larger as we proceed to larger plants,
each plant being a significant part of the energy supply.
Accidents In Fast-Breeder Reactors
The
comments above concerning the water
moderated reactors apply even more pertinently to the
fast-breeders. Dr. Edward Teller expressed quite well
the concern of many scientists and engineers, relative
to fast breeders, when he wrote in Nuclear News:
For
the fast breeder to work in its steady-state
breeding condition you probably need something like
half a ton of plutonium. In order that it should work
economically in a sufficiently big power-producing
unit, it probably needs quite a bit more than one ton
of plutonium. I do not like the hazard involved. I
suggested that nuclear reactors are a blessing because
they are clean. They are clean as long as they function
as planned, but if they malfunction in a massive manner,
which can happen in principle, they can release
enough fission products to kill a tremendous number
of people.
.
. . But, if you put together two tons of plutonium
in a breeder, one tenth of one percent of this material
could become critical.
I
have listened to hundreds of analyses of what
course a nuclear accident can take. Although I believe
it is possible to analyze the immediate consequences
of an accident, I do not believe it is possible to analyze
and foresee the secondary consequences. In an accident
involving a plutonium reactor, a couple of tons of
plutonium can melt. I don't think anybody can foresee
where one or two or five percent of this plutonium
will find itself and how it will get mixed with some
other material. A small fraction of the original charge
can become a great
hazard.[10]
In
his book, The Careless Atom, Sheldon Novick
describes a number of accidents that have occurred
with nuclear reactors. One of these occurred at the
Fermi Reactor, 30 miles from Detroit, Michigan. This
is our first and only large scale fast breeder. In this
accident some of the fuel rods had melted. The situation
described above by Dr. Teller had occurred. Mr.
Novick quotes Walter J. McCarthy, Jr., Assistant General
Manager of the Power Reactor Development Company
that owned the reactor, as stating that the possibility
of a secondary and very serious accident was "a
terrifying thought."
The
terrifying thought involved the possibility of
the melted fuel reassembling into a critical mass and
resulting in an explosion that could lead to the consequences
foretold by Dr. Teller. It was a month before
careful attempts were begun to remove the damaged
fuel elements. When nothing happened, everyone
breathed a sigh of relief.
Dr.
Teller says, "So far, we have been extremely
lucky." But is Dr. Jordan's statement that the risk ". . .
is certainly worth it" really true?
How
safe and reliable are nuclear power reactors?
Apparently, no one really knows. The United States is
engaged in a gigantic experiment. The stakes which
each individual must gamble in this experiment may
be extremely high, possibly even his life.
- In Environmental Effects of Producing Electrical Power.
Hearings before the Joint Committee on Atomic Energy,
91st Congress, Ist Session held Oct. 28-31 Nov. 4-7 1969.
Washington, D.C., U.S. Government
Printing Office, i969, Part i, pp. 203-205.
- lbid., p. 206.
- Ibid., p. 209.
- Walter H. Jordan, "Nuclear Energy: Benefits versus Risks,"
Physics Today (May), 32-38, 1970.
- Personal communication.
- As seen in Eugene Register-Guard (Oregon),
October 7, 1969.
- In AEC Authorizing Legislation. Fiscal Year 1971.
Hearings before the Joint Committee on Atomic Energy,
91st Congress, 2nd Session, held March 11, 1970.
Washington, D.C., U.S. Government Printing Office,
1970, Part 3, pp. 1619-1620.
- lbid., p. 1622.
- E. P. Epler. "The ORR Emergency Cooling Failure."
Nuclear Safety 11 (4), 323-327, 1970.
- Edward Teller, "Fast Reactors: Maybe." Nuclear News
(August 21, 1967 ).
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