================== Electronic Edition ==================

                  RACHEL'S ENVIRONMENT & HEALTH NEWS #629
                          ---December 17, 1998---
                                 HEADLINES:
           WHEN GROWTH STOPS -- SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT -- Part 6
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            When Growth Stops -- Sustainable Development, Part 6


     Here we wrap up our discussion of sustainable development, based
     on the excellent book BEYOND GROWTH by Herman Daly.[1]

     Sustainable development means, first, setting physical limits on
     the "throughput" of the human economy. Throughput means all the
     materials and energy flowing through the economy -- all the things
     we make and use, and all the energy required to do so. Another
     phrase for "throughput" is "total consumption," which is total
     human population multiplied by per-capita consumption.

     The total throughput of the human economy must be kept small
     enough to avoid exceeding two physical limits of the ecosystem:
     its capacity to regenerate itself, and its capacity to absorb our
     wastes. Each year now, scientists report new evidence that the
     human economy has exceeded both of these ecosystem limits.

     For example, nature creates (regenerates) new topsoil each year,
     but in much of the world (particularly in the U.S.) humans are
     destroying topsoil faster than nature can create it.[2] Loss of
     topsoil reduces our future farming capacity in a fundamental way.
     Topsoil destroyed today is topsoil taken from our children and
     grandchildren.

     Pesticides provide an example of humans producing wastes faster
     than nature can absorb them. If nature could absorb pesticide
     residues as fast as humans created them, then there would be no
     buildup of toxic residues. But there has been a measurable buildup
     of pesticides at the north and south poles, at the bottom of the
     deepest oceans, in the drinking water of much of the midwestern
     U.S., and in the breast milk of women worldwide. We have clearly
     exceeded nature's capacity to absorb pesticide wastes, thus
     denying our children their rightful share of nature's
     detoxification capacity.

     In sum, there really are "limits to growth" and we have already
     exceeded some of those limits. This means that, at some point,
     continued economic growth (growth of throughout) will create bads
     faster than it creates goods (an economist would say "marginal
     costs will exceed marginal benefits"). Daly (pg. 40) argues, for
     example, that the U.S. chemical industry may have already passed
     the point at which its toxic discharges are costing society more
     than the benefits provided by its products. If this were the case,
     then society would receive net benefits by shrinking the chemical
     industry instead of promoting its growth.

     Unfortunately, we have no way of measuring whether our economy has
     passed the point at which costs have begun to exceed benefits
     because, in our national accounting system (in which we measure
     "gross domestic product"), we count all production of goods and
     services as "goods." In tallying up gross domestic product (GDP)
     we never subtract any bads. Chemicals are counted as goods and the
     products they allow us to make are counted as goods. This makes
     sense. But when our chemical factories produce chemical waste
     dumps that must be cleaned up at huge public expense, those costs
     are counted as "goods" too, instead of being subtracted as bads.
     If a few hundred or a few thousand children get cancer from
     exposure to chemical wastes, their hospitalization, their
     radiation treatments, their chemotherapy, and their funeral
     expenses are all counted as "goods" in our total GDP. If their
     parents sue, all the resulting court expenses are counted as
     goods, not bads. In sum, the nation's brightest economists
     maintain our national accounting system with a calculator that has
     a plus key but no minus key.[3] Therefore we have no way of
     knowing whether the costs of economic growth have exceeded the
     benefits. The nation's economists (and politicians and business
     leaders) simply assume that if GDP is rising, our standard of
     living is rising too. But, as the song goes, it ain't necessarily
     so. (For substantial evidence on this point, see REHW #516.)

     Historically, growth is an aberration; a steady state economy is
     the norm. Only during the past 500 years has growth begun to seem
     like the normal condition for human economies. The physical limits
     to growth (which we are now perceiving because we have exceeded
     some of them) require us to return to the steady state sooner or
     later. If we do so by choice, we may be able to guide the process
     and achieve a steady- state economy with a reasonable
     approximation of the "good life" for most people, world without
     end.[4] On the other hand, if we continue to blindly accept the
     ideology that growth is good, then natural limits will reduce our
     numbers with an ecological meat axe and the suffering will be
     immense.

     Why do we have so much trouble imagining a no-growth economy?

     Daly believes there is one central reason: because a steady-state
     economy, one that is no longer physically growing, will force us
     to confront the problem of inequality, which is another name for
     the problem of poverty. So long as the total economic pie is
     growing we can say, "The poor will be lifted out of poverty by
     growth, so we need not take any special steps to alleviate their
     condition -- in fact we hardly need to think about them at all
     because the market will take care of them."

     In a steady-state economy, we will have to decide what is a fair
     distribution of the benefits of the economy because, in the steady
     state, as the rich get richer the poor must get poorer. In this
     situation, the only way to make sure that a fair share is
     available for everyone (whatever society decides "a fair share"
     means) is to set a limit on how much the powerful and the
     predatory can take for themselves. Daly says simply, "In a steady
     state, if the rich get richer the poor must get poorer, not only
     relatively but absolutely. If the total [throughput of the
     economy] is limited there must be a maximum limit on individual
     income."

     Daly believes this is the key reason why we refuse to confront
     limits to growth: we cling to the path of unsustainable growth so
     that we will not have to think about limiting inequality. (pg.
     215)

     Daly argues that establishing the principle of limited inequality
     is a necessary (but not sufficient) condition for achieving a
     modern steady state. He argues that the precise range of
     inequality that we allow is not as important as establishing the
     principle that inequality should be limited.

     If inequality is to be limited, this implies that there will be a
     maximum allowable income and a minimum income. (These standards
     would have to be developed within each society because needs are
     culturally determined.) Daly argues (pg. 210) that the minimum
     income "would be some culturally defined amount sufficient for
     food, clothing, shelter, and basic health and education." The
     maximum income might be four times as great as the minimum (which
     is what Plato advocated), or it could be 10 or 20 times as great.
     The exact number isn't terribly important. The point is that there
     must be a limit on inequality -- the precise limit can be worked
     out in practice. (The overarching goal would be to provide
     sufficient incentive so that all necessary jobs are filled
     voluntarily by qualified people.)

     Daly argues that limiting inequality (in a steady-state economy)
     is a way to achieve 3 things:

       1. It is a way to keep the rich from leaning too heavily on the
          poor;

       2. It is a way to keep the present generation from leaning too
          heavily on future generations;

       3. It is a way to prevent humans from "leaning too heavily on
          other creatures whose habitats must disappear as we convert
          more and more of the finite ecosystem into a source for raw
          materials, a sink for waste, or living space for humans and
          warehouses for our artifacts."

     In addition to the matter of fairness (the meaning of which each
     society or culture must decide for itself), in a steady-state
     economy we would need to limit inequality for another reason as
     well: to limit total human consumption, which is total population
     multiplied by per- capita consumption. It is total human
     consumption that stresses the ecosystem.

     Because total consumption has two parts (human numbers and
     per-capita consumption), to limit total consumption, we would need
     to limit inequality AND limit total human numbers. In a
     steady-state economy (one whose total size is established by the
     Earth's limits), the more people there are, the lower their
     average standard of living must be. Controlling growth requires us
     to limit both human consumption AND human population. Both limits
     are ESSENTIAL if we aim to control the total size (throughput) of
     the global economy.

     In recent decades we have invented several technological fixes
     aimed at circumventing the natural limits of ecosystems, so that
     growth can continue. The "green revolution" tried to speed up the
     growth rates of the edible portions of wheat and rice plants[5] --
     but these changes were achieved at the expense of stability,
     resilience and resistance to disease. The latest technical fix is
     genetically engineered crops. The hidden costs of this latest
     agricultural gimmick have yet to be measured, but we can be sure
     that they will become apparent as time passes. Daly says, "It is
     for now certainly better for us to slow down our own biological
     growth rate than to attempt to speed up the growth rates of all
     the species we depend upon." (pg. 85)

     It seems logical that we in the northern hemisphere must confront
     (and achieve) the limits to growth first be-

     Individual countries will find it more difficult to limit their
     consumption as the "free trade" ideology is imposed on them by
     powerful traders like the U.S. "Free trade" hides the ecological
     costs of consumption. If Americans are doing the consuming but the
     related ecological limits are being exceeded in Mexico or in
     Indonesia, Americans can feel no incentive to reduce their
     consumption. Free trade even makes it difficult to keep relevant
     accounts because benefits are being enjoyed in one locale while
     costs are being created in another, thousands of miles apart.

     There is considerable evidence that free trade doctrines are
     increasing inequalities within and between countries. As Herman
     Daly says (pg. 156), free trade will bring with it "a further
     writing off of the laboring class in this country, an increasing
     disdain toward uneducated and rural people by the corporate and
     university elite, and an increasing devotion by the former to the
     one thing about themselves that at least vaguely concerns the
     latter -- their growing arsenal of guns."

     Within countries, great inequality creates civil conflict. Between
     countries, in a full world, high rates of consumption create
     international conflict. To the extent that free trade makes
     nations less able to control their rates of consumption, to that
     degree it will promote war within and between countries. To
     promote peace, nations need to become more self-sufficient and to
     consume less.

     We have said before and we say again: We know of only one
     organization committed to tackling every part of the "sustainable
     development" problem: Sustainable America. We urge all our readers
     to join and support Sustainable America. This is important. Please
     do it. Telephone (212) 269-9550; fax (212) 269-9557; or
     www.sanetwork.org.

                                                      --Peter Montague
                      (National Writers Union, UAW Local 1981/AFL-CIO)

     ----------

       1. Herman E. Daly, BEYOND GROWTH (Boston: Beacon Press, 1996).
          ISBN 0-8070-4708-2.

       2. Gary Hardner, SHRINKING FIELDS: CROPLAND LOSS IN A WORLD OF
          EIGHT BILLION (Washington, D.C.: Worldwatch Institute, 1996).
          ISBN 1-878071- 33-5. Worldwatch can be reached at 1776
          Massachusetts Avenue, Washington, D.C. 20036-1904. Telephone:
          (202) 452-1992; fax: (202) 296- 7365.

       3. Lincoln Anderson, "Gross Domestic Product," in David R.
          Henderson, editor, THE FORTUNE ENCYCLOPEDIA OF ECONOMICS (New
          York: Warner Books, 1993), pgs. 203-207. ISBN 0-446-51637-6.

       4. Daly (cited above in note 1) never precisely defines the
          "good life" but on pg. 14 he says, "...most would agree with
          [British economist Thomas] Malthus that it should be such as
          to permit one to have a glass of wine and a piece of meat
          with one's dinner. Even if one is a teetotaler or a
          vegetarian that level of affluence is desirable, and would
          serve by itself to rule out populations at or above today's
          level."

       5. Vandana Shiva, STAYING ALIVE; WOMEN, ECOLOGY, AND DEVELOPMENT
          (London, England, and Atlantic Highlands, New Jersey, USA:
          Zed Books, 1989). ISBN 0-86232-823-3.

     Descriptor terms: sustsinable development; herman daly; economy;
     inequality; poverty; growth; free trade;

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